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We expect a $140.784 movement on GF within 2 hours following the event release at 18 Mar 23:30.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect a $140.784 movement on GF within 2 hours following the event release at 18 Mar 23:30. We expect GF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 18 Mar 23:30 if the released value is > -0.4%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 23:30
17 Sep 23:30
20 Aug 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Silver MAY 2021 is quickly approaching 25.8450. We expect either a breakout through this line, or a rebound.

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We expect YM to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

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