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We expect a $120 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the release of RBA Interest Rate Decision.

Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-30 04:30 if the released value is = 3.6%. A price movement of 12 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Aug 04:30
01 Apr 04:30
18 Feb 03:30
10 Dec 03:30
24 Sep 04:30
06 Aug 04:30
07 May 04:30
19 Mar 03:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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