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We expect a 1187 pip movement on ES for the next 4 hours.

Based on past United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news events there is a 66.67% chance of ES trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < -42. A price movement of 1187 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Feb 00:01
21 Jan 00:01
23 Sep 23:01
19 Aug 23:01

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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