Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect a $0 movement on BP within 2 hours following the event release at 16 Jul 11:45. We expect BP to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 16 Jul 11:45 if the released value is = 0%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
04 Jun 11:45 |
30 Apr 11:45 |
12 Mar 12:45 |
23 Jan 12:45 |
24 Oct 11:45 |
25 Jul 11:45 |
06 Jun 11:45 |
10 Apr 11:45 |
07 Mar 12:45 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
