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We expect a $0.196 movement on AC within 2 hours following the event release at 20 Aug 23:30.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect a $0.196 movement on AC within 2 hours following the event release at 20 Aug 23:30. We expect AC to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 20 Aug 23:30 if the released value is > 0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Apr 23:30
23 Jan 23:30
19 Dec 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 0 pip movement on 6A for the next 2 hours.

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Support line breached by FRA40. This price has been tested at least twice before.

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