Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect a $0.181 movement on HG within 4 hours following the event release at 13 Jan 13:30. We expect HG to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 13 Jan 13:30 if the released value is > 1.3%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
10 Dec 13:30 |
11 Sep 12:30 |
12 Aug 12:30 |
13 Feb 13:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).