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We expect 6S to trend upwards for the next 12 hours.

We expect 6S to trend upwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 0%. A price movement of 0 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Mar 12:45
21 Jan 12:45
10 Dec 12:45
10 Sep 11:45
16 Jul 11:45
04 Jun 11:45
30 Apr 11:45
12 Mar 12:45
12 Dec 12:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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After testing 132.3281 numerous times, 10 year US Treasury Note JUNE 2021 is once again approaching this price point. Can we expect a bearish trend to follow?

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