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We expect 6C to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect 6C to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect 6C to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 11 Sep 12:30 if the released value is < 1.2%. A price movement of 0 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Jun 12:30
12 May 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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