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USDCHF – a possible trend downwards with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, USDCHF could experience an downwards trend. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this, and the trend could last 2 hours because the released value is < 92.9. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Mar 09:00
24 Sep 08:00
25 Aug 08:00
26 Jul 08:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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A final push possible on GBP/USD as it starts approaching a price line of 1.2322.

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We expect ES to trend upwards today.

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