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There is a 87.5% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards

Based on past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 87.5% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards. A price movement of 307 could occur if the released value is > A$9.3B.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 May 01:30
03 Mar 00:30
02 Dec 00:30
04 Nov 00:30
05 Oct 00:30
05 Aug 01:30
03 Jun 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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