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There is a 87.5% chance of EMD trending upwards

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, we expect EMD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 87.5% chance of this. We expect EMD to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 2024-04-30 09:00 if the released value is < 1%. A price movement of 2359 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Mar 10:00
01 Feb 10:00
05 Jan 10:00
30 Nov 10:00
31 Oct 10:00
31 Jul 09:00
28 Jun 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards right now.

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