Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Flash events in Euro Area, we expect a 150 pip movement on USDCHF within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-04-01 09:00. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-04-01 09:00 if the released value is > 2.2%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
03 Mar 10:00 |
03 Feb 10:00 |
31 Oct 10:00 |
31 Jul 09:00 |
31 May 09:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
