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There is a 83.33% chance of NE trending downwards

Based on past Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 83.33% chance of NE trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0%. A price movement of 0 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Oct 11:45
12 Sep 11:45
25 Jul 11:45
06 Jun 11:45
07 Mar 12:45
24 Jan 12:45
13 Dec 12:45
25 Oct 11:45
26 Jul 11:45
14 Jun 11:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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