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There is a 80% chance of USDCHF trending upwards

Based on past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 80% chance of USDCHF trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 3. A price movement of 26 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Jun 01:30
12 Feb 00:30
29 Jan 00:30
09 Oct 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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