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There is a 80% chance of EURUSD trending upwards

We expect EURUSD to trend upwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 0.8%. A price movement of 40 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Dec 14:30
27 Nov 13:30
25 Jul 12:30
27 Feb 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect USDJPY to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

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We expect GC to trend downwards for the next 2 hours.

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