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There is a 75% chance of ZC trending downwards

Based on past Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel news events there is a 75% chance of ZC trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 1.7%. A price movement of 12450 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Apr 09:00
28 Feb 10:00
31 May 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $294 movement on LE within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-05-30 09:00.

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