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There is a 75% chance of USDCHF trending downwards

We expect a $236 movement on USDCHF within 2 hours following the release of Unemployment Rate at 2025-07-17 06:00. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-07-17 06:00 if the released value is < 4.6%. A price movement of 19 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 07:00
15 Oct 06:00
13 Aug 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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