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There is a 75% chance of USDCAD trending upwards

We expect USDCAD to trend upwards for the next 48 hours. Based on these past United States Inflation Rate MoM news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 0.3%. A price movement of 115 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Jan 13:30
10 Oct 12:30
10 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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