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There is a 75% chance of NIY trending upwards

We expect a $23513800 movement on NIY within 48 hours following the release of Industrial Production YoY at 2022-10-12 09:00. We expect NIY to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2022-10-12 09:00 if the released value is > 1.2%. A price movement of 89000 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Aug 09:00
13 Jul 09:00
13 May 09:00
14 Dec 10:00
12 Nov 10:00
13 Oct 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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