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There is a 75% chance of MW trending upwards

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect MW to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect MW to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2024-10-25 12:30 if the released value is < -1%. A price movement of 10 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Jul 12:30
27 Feb 13:30
22 Nov 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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