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There is a 75% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards

Based on past United States Adp Employment Change news events there is a 75% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards. A price movement of 22 could occur if the released value is < 300K. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 May 12:15
02 Feb 13:15
04 Aug 12:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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