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There is a 75% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect a $540 movement on GBPUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-30 12:00. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-30 12:00 if the released value is = 2%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Mar 12:00
28 Feb 13:00
29 May 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $5277 movement on KW within 2 hours following the release of Inflation Rate YoY Prel.

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