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There is a 75% chance of EMD trending downwards

Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, EMD may trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is = 4.35%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Dec 03:30
07 Nov 03:30
03 Oct 03:30
05 Sep 04:30
07 Mar 03:30
07 Feb 03:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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