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There is a 71.43% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards

Based on past United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news events there is a 71.43% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 0.8%. A price movement of 38 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Jun 12:30
24 May 12:30
21 Feb 13:30
21 Dec 13:30
21 Nov 13:30
24 Aug 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards today with a 70% chance.

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