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There is a 66.67% chance of USDJPY trending upwards

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-05-20 12:30 if the released value is > 1.6%. A price movement of 36 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Nov 13:30
25 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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