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There is a 66.67% chance of NZDUSD trending upwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we could see a 42 pip movement on NZDUSD for the next 48 hours. NZDUSD could trend upwards for 48 hours because the released value is > ¥-893B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Apr 23:50
22 Jan 23:50
17 Sep 23:50
16 Apr 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $1537 movement on ZW within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-06-17 23:50.

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