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There is a 66.67% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards

Based on past Australia Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 66.67% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 0.5%. A price movement of 17 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Sep 01:30
04 Jul 01:30
04 Jun 01:30
02 Nov 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $0 movement on 6M within the next 2 hours.

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