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There is a 66.67% chance of KC trending downwards

Based on past Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of KC trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = -0.1%. A price movement of 180 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Mar 03:00
29 Oct 03:00
17 Sep 03:00
15 Jul 03:00
22 May 03:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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