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There is a 66.67% chance of HE trending downwards

Based on past Germany Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash news events there is a 66.67% chance of HE trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 41.5. A price movement of 202 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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