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There is a 66.67% chance of EURUSD trending upwards

Based on past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 66.67% chance of EURUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 2. A price movement of 36 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Apr 00:30
12 Mar 00:30
11 Dec 00:30
13 Nov 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect HG to trend upwards today.

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AUD/USD is quickly approaching 0.6755. We expect either a breakout through this line, or a rebound.

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