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There is a 66.67% chance of EURUSD trending downwards

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ events in Australia, we expect a 256 pip movement on EURUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-03-05 00:30. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-03-05 00:30 if the released value is > 0.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Sep 01:30
02 Mar 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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