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EURUSD – a possible trend downwards with a 71.43% chance.

Based on the last 12 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events in United States, EURUSD could experience an downwards trend. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this, and the trend could last 48 hours because the released value is < 21. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Feb 13:30
16 Dec 13:30
21 Oct 12:30
15 Jul 12:30
17 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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