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Trader Insights
118 posts
Don’t ever trust a trendline
What can we say about trend line? Is there any trader in the world that hasn’t used them? I seriously doubt it. We’ve been told time and again, “Trust the trend line. The trend line is our friend.” The visual appeal of a trend line is just irresistible… trimming the trend and showing you the…
The ground rules of day trading
Day trading is challenging. Don’t let anyone tell you otherwise. The odds are stacked against you and the risks of loss seemingly lurks at every turn. That’s why it’s important to understand some ground rules about day trading. The rules are there so that you can safely swim with the sharks. Range is Key for…
The Repainting Indicators in MetaTrader
Repainting indicators are one of the most common problems facing would-be EA designers. Sometimes it seems like an indicator really has its thumb on the market. It perfectly predicts when the market will go up or down. Making an EA run off of the indicator is a no-brainer. If this sounds familiar, then you need…
The Guppy Multiple Moving Average (GMMA) Indicator
One of the most frustrating things about constructing a trading system can be the absolute freedom to use whatever indicators and values you like. While this can initially sound positive, the virtually limitless combinations of variables can become quite overwhelming. For example, if you like the concept of the SPY 10/100 SMA Long Only System…
Common Formulas for Money Management
All of the EAs that we program generally use one of three types of money management. I don’t really like that term, though. I believe that position sizing formula is generally more accurate. The options are: Fixed Lot Size Use a percentage of available margin Lose a certain percentage of the account balance whenever the…
Multi-Day Mean Reversion
The Multiple Day Mean Reversion System is designed to pick up quick profits from ETFs that wander a little too far from their current trend. It is based on the mean reversion assumption that all markets will eventually revert back to their average price. Similar to the 3 Day High/Low Mean Reversion System, this one…
Moving Average Crossover and RSI Filter
Simple systems stand the best chances of succeeding by not becoming overly curve-fit. However, adding a simple filter to a robust system can be a great way to improve its profitability, provided you also analyze how it may alter any risks or biases built into the system. The Moving Average Crossover System with RSI Filter…
The secret to trading double tops
The double top pattern is no doubt among the simplest and most familiar price patterns in technical analysis. Typically, a double top pattern is followed by a sell off. In theory, this rather simple pattern should be easy for traders to pounce on and yet, too often, it’s a cause for frustration. That’s because the…
Beware of fake trading signals
How many times were you certain of that one trading signal that told you that a trend was over? Or what about the one that indicted a trend was just about to begin? Of course, that “prophecy” was eventually dispelled and the market turned against you. It probably happens quite a lot, maybe even more…
Probability Tools to improve Trading
In order to be successful, forex traders need to know the basic mathematics of probability. After all, it’s difficult to achieve and maintain trading gains without first having the ability to understand the numbers and measure them. Many traders use a combination of black box indicators to develop and implement trading rules. Yet, the difference…