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Be very careful of upcoming volatility. We expect a $92.7 movement on USDJPY.

Be very careful of upcoming volatility because of Euro Area Business Confidence news event later today. Based on the last 12 Business Confidence events in Euro Area, we expect a $92.7 movement on USDJPY within 2 hours following the event release at 27 Sep 09:00. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 0.11. A price movement of 10 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Feb 10:00
29 Nov 10:00
27 Sep 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect TN to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

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