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Be very careful of upcoming volatility. We expect a $356.625 movement on ZW.

Be very careful of upcoming volatility because of Euro Area Business Confidence news event later today. Based on the last 12 Business Confidence events in Euro Area, we expect a $356.625 movement on ZW within 2 hours following the event release at 29 Aug 09:00. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 0.08. A price movement of 75 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Nov 10:00
27 Sep 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $112.17 movement on USDCHF within 2 hours following the event release at 29 Aug 09:00.

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We expect SM to trend downwards for the next 12 hours.

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