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We expect YM to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

We expect YM to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 53.5. A price movement of 11,350 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jun 14:00
05 Mar 15:00
06 Dec 15:00
05 Nov 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect USDJPY to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

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