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We expect YM to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, we expect YM to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Jun 04:30
04 May 04:30
06 Apr 04:30
02 Feb 03:30
03 Nov 03:30
06 Oct 03:30
01 Sep 04:30
04 Aug 04:30
02 Jun 04:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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A final push expected on US30 as it starts approaching a price line of 34779.0000.

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We expect a $41,556.9 movement on RTY within 4 hours following the event release at 06 Jul 04:30.

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