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We expect YM to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect YM to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect YM to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2023-02-23 23:30 if the released value is > 4.2%. A price movement of 7150 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Sep 23:30
18 Aug 23:30
21 Apr 23:30
17 Mar 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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