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We expect USDJPY to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

We expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States Housing Starts news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 1.32M. A price movement of 37 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Sep 12:30
18 Jun 12:30
16 May 12:30
18 Dec 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

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