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We expect USDJPY to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect a $237 movement on USDJPY within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-02-18 13:30. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-02-18 13:30 if the released value is > 1.9%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Nov 13:30
25 Jun 12:30
16 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $3040484 movement on YM within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-02-18 13:30.

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