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We expect USDJPY to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect USDJPY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < €20.9B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Sep 06:00
07 Aug 06:00
07 Jun 06:00
07 May 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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