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We expect USDCHF to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 KOF Leading Indicators events in Switzerland, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 28 Jan 08:00 if the released value is > 106.3. A price movement of 21 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Sep 07:00
28 May 07:00
30 Apr 07:00
30 Mar 07:00
26 Feb 08:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 2,700 pip movement on PL within 12 hours following the event release.

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