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We expect USDCAD to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

We expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 49.2. A price movement of 46 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Nov 14:00
01 Oct 14:00
03 Sep 14:00
01 Aug 14:00
03 Jun 14:00
03 Jan 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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