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We expect UB to trend upwards today with a 83.33% chance.

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect UB to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = -0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 Jan 03:00
18 Dec 03:45
29 Oct 03:00
17 Sep 03:00
15 Jul 03:00
16 Jun 02:45
22 May 03:00
27 Apr 04:00
21 Jan 03:00
31 Oct 04:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect RB to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

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We expect CT to trend downwards for the next 48 hours.

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