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We expect UB to trend downwards with a 71.43% chance.

Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect UB to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect UB to trend downwards for 4 hours because the released value is < 78.8K. A price movement of 1,084 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Sep 06:00
17 Mar 09:30
18 Feb 09:30
21 Jan 09:30
15 Oct 08:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect NIY to trend upwards today with a 71.43% chance.

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