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We expect SI to trend upwards today with a 83.33% chance.

We expect SI to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United Kingdom Balance of Trade news events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < £-2.7B. A price movement of 14 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Oct 06:00
12 Aug 06:00
13 Apr 06:00
12 Feb 07:00
15 Jan 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $167.996 movement on USDCAD within 2 hours following the event release at 14 Jan 07:00.

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Important price line being approached by AUD/USD. This price has been tested numerous times before.

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