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We expect SI to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect SI to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect SI to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 20 May 23:01 if the released value is < -12. A price movement of 48 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Apr 23:01
20 Aug 23:01
23 Jul 23:01

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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