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We expect S to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

We expect S to trend upwards later today. Based on these past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > A$10.2B. A price movement of 1,050 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jun 01:30
04 Mar 00:30
03 Dec 00:30
05 Nov 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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