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We expect RTY to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, RTY could trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. If the released value is > 31.7 we could see RTY trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 02 May 05:00.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Oct 05:00
01 Oct 05:00
30 Jun 05:00
31 May 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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JPN225 moves lower to 26,665 in the last 3 days.

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