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We expect RTY to trend upwards today with a 71.43% chance.

We expect RTY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past Japan Consumer Confidence news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 33. A price movement of 1,495 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 May 05:00
08 Apr 05:00
04 Mar 05:00
02 Oct 05:00
31 Aug 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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